Economic Growth

Additional income from mining. Mining’s contribution to national economies between 1996 and 2016

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Full size table Exploration Global exploration is more volatile than mine production and varies, with a time lag, with metal prices. Footnote 15 Inglobal exploration expenditure was just below 5 billion USD.

Activities dwindled in the early s and reached a trough in at around 2 billion USD. Since then, exploration has been expanding slowly again. As mentioned earlier, there are other shortcomings in these figures but none of them are considered serious enough not to include exploration in the MCI-Wr index.

Exploration expenditure figures additional income from mining individual countries vary in a similar way as global figures do and sometimes are even more volatile. Over the period sincethe ratio of global exploration expenditure to the value of total global mine production has varied between 1. These exploration efforts have made it possible to start and expand mine production in the country in later years and the concomitant increase in the MCI-Wr index.

Mali, Eritrea, Papua New Guinea, Liberia and Tanzania are other countries where exploration during periods since has been on much higher levels than the global average, albeit not reaching the figures of Burkina Faso.

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Some of the other countries in the MCI-Wr top 30, such as Mauritania, Peru, Botswana, Chile and Australia have had lower exploration ratios possibly indicating lower probability of quick future expansions of their mine production. Inthe highest ratio is calculated for Senegal 8. At the low end are Zimbabwe and Uzbekistan both 0.

The differences in actual spending are of additional income from mining big, most funds are spent in Canada at 0. Table 6 Top 20 MCI-Wr countries and exploration Full size table Exploration expenditure depends on a range of factors including geological prospectivity, the potential to make a discovery and later the likelihood to take this deposit into an operating mine.

Other drivers are mining and environmental legislation, security of tenure, tax system, availability of infra structure and competent and trained staff. Footnote 16 All these factors are directly or additional income from mining influenced by national and local political decisions. Even geological potential can be influenced by geological mapping and research into processes of ore formation etc.

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Mineral rents Mineral rents vary considerably over time and between countries. Mineral rents as a percentage of GDP decreased from Given the uncertainties additional income from mining in the Methodology section above, it seems as if a careful recalculation of the mineral rents would be useful in order to determine more precisely their contribution to national economies or perhaps the replacement of this indicator by using value added in the sector.

Also among these countries, additional income from mining had been an increase since Australia and South Africa would have considerably higher mineral rents if also coal would have been included as both these counties are important coal producers.

Economic Growth - Minerals Make Life

Other factors In addition to the four indicators studied, there are other remaining ones, which ideally should be measured but are not because there is a lack of comparable data.

Two of the most import ones not included in the calculations are government revenues and employment. In spite of this, it is important to present at least a brief discussion, based on some data not coherent and not covering all countries for all years but still giving some indications to the importance of these indicators. Footnote 17 Additional indicators, which could also be important to include are foreign direct additional income from mining total investments into mining, and mineral wealth created.

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There is however not sufficient annual data over the entire period to make any further calculations for investments meaningful. Mineral wealth developments are treated in increasing detail by the World Bank in the study The Changing Wealth of Nations Non-fuel mineral resources grew very rapidly between andmore than 10 times from to This is by far the largest increase of all asset types measured in this study.

It would be interesting to include also wealth developments into a future mining contribution index. Government revenues The capturing by government of some part of total resource revenues as government revenues mainly taxes and royalties is crucial to generate development for many reasons, not least that the mineral resources are considered non-renewable.

From Fig.

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This is probably explained by the fact that Ghana is an important gold producer and the gold price has not fallen as quickly as some of the base metals. The IMF data are not complete for the full period untiland for Zambia and Guinea, there are unfortunately no recent figures.

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The quick growth of mining in Mongolia has resulted in an equally rapid increase of government revenues but the volatility is also high making it difficult for mineral rich countries such as Mongolia to plan for their futures. Note: For details on the price index please see note of Fig.

Employment is an important stabilising factor in the contribution of mining in many mineral-rich countries. Employment is further somewhat less volatile than the other factors under study, and there was for example only a marginal dip during the global financial crisis in — The employment effects how to find the equation of the trend line mining, directly and indirectly, is a key area for further research.

Metal and mineral prices had been on low levels for an extended period in the s and into the new millennium. A period with low profitability and limited investments very quickly turned into a situation with record high metal prices, improved profitability and a plethora of new investment additional income from mining.

It was mainly the strong demand for metals and minerals additional income from mining China which drove these developments. Gold stands out in that its price did not fall as precipitously as several other metals.

Introduction

Forty-one percent of the total value of their mine output comes from gold. Gold is the main contributor in nine out of these 20 countries.

Table 7 Share of total value of mineral production for gold Full size table Two examples are demonstrated in Figs.

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The figures show the total value of metal video options strategies mineral production relative to GDP on the vertical axis and the metal and mineral export as a percentage of total exports on the horizontal for every year since The line joins these annual readings together in chronological order.

Burkina Faso had only limited mining in early s and the production value as percentage of GDP was close to zero and exports were accordingly very low. The value of mine production as a percentage of GDP remained at the same levels from and onwards. Note: Other circles indicate other countries and their position in Source: Own calculations Full size image Fig.

Note: Other circles are other countries and their position in The contribution of mining to the economy of Mongolia will most probably remain on additional income from mining high level. Gold mining countries are experiencing a slower but still continuing growth.

These figures have declined for some counties but the situation for most countries is still a significantly larger contribution of mining in than in For some countries, production value as percentage of GDP and mineral exports is even higher in because of a strong growth in production offsetting the decline in prices. Some of the countries with a higher share of mineral exports in compared with are Burkina Faso, Mali, Guyana, Ghana, Additional income from mining, Mauritania, Guinea and Botswana.

Changes in the MCI-Wr between and The value of mineral production at the mine stage was billion USD in nominal terms inequivalent to 0.

Inthe value of metal and mineral production peaked at billion USD 1. It has since fallen to billion USDwhich is 1.

The extraordinarily long boom in metal and mineral markets and prices beginning in made mining a more important part of GDP in almost all mining countries.

This rapid growth and later equally quick decline in value of metal and mineral production naturally had strong effects on MCI-Wr. Of these, ten economies have climbed up one level between and in the World Bank income group classification low Llower-middle LMupper-middle UM and high-income H countries. Mauritania, Zambia, Mongolia and Kyrgyzstan were classified as low-income countries in additional income from mining in are classified additional income from mining lower-middle-income countries.

Namibia, Suriname, Peru and Botswana were classified as lower-middle-income countries in and upper-middle-income countries in Chile moved from the upper-middle level to become a high-income country in the period. Certainly, there are a host of factors influencing these gradual economic developments, but the contribution of mining is most probably one of the more important ones.

Table 8 Change in country classification — Full size table The contribution of mining to national economies in compared with the situation in is illustrated in the two maps in Figs.

The contribution of mining the darker coloured countries has increased for several countries in Latin America and Africa, both West Africa and South and Central Africa. The importance of mining for some countries in Europe, North America and China has decreased in the same period. Of the 20 countries with the highest MCI-Wr score in11 have moved up one or more levels in the World Bank country classification.

In addition to the countries mentioned above, Kazakhstan and Russia have moved from the lower-middle to the upper-middle group. We cannot determine if the declining MCI-Wr score means that the economies of these countries have diversified or additional income from mining that the mining sector has contracted.

Most countries, which show the largest increase in MCI-Wr, had no or only limited industrial mining in but investments were made during the first decade of the twenty-first century. The exploration expenditures in the early part of the period under study were also high as discussed above.

African mining countries in particular have increased their MCI-Wr score. Among the 20 countries for which the MCI-Wr score has increased most between andno less than 14 are in Africa see Table 9. The sma strategy on binary options was 1.

Additional income from mining spending in the countries studied increased over the period as a whole, but has been declining steeply since Mineral rents followed the general metal price developments and reached a peak inbut have declined since, although additional income from mining are still higher in than they were in the s.

Figure 10 shows the MCI-Wr scores of the top 50 countries in relative to the situation in Even Botswana and Chile, two countries which have been considered to be successful in using mining as a lever for economic development, are above the line i.

Footnote 19 Social development and mining The analysis of the contribution of mining to national economies and to development can be taken a step further to include a number of additional income from mining of social development: Human Development Index HDI.

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Inequality, the Gini coefficient. Footnote 20 Human development index Human development index HDI as defined by the United Nations measures several aspects of social development such as health, life expectancy, standard of living, education. It is notable that the top 20 MCI-Wr group of countries has managed to develop at the same pace in this period as have the rest of world group RoW including most high-income countries.

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The countries of sub-Saharan Africa were divided into three groups see Figs. In both figures mining countries are shown in green, oil producing countries in black and non-mining countries in red.

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Non-mining countries: Central African Rep. Equatorial Guinea, Nigeria, South Sudan and Chad Governance indices Measured with a set of governance indicators corruption, effectiveness, political stability, regulatory quality, rule of law and voice and accountabilitymining countries have developed significantly better than non-mining countries and oil producing countries.

In oil producing countries the indicators rule of law and voice and accountability even show a situation inwhich is worse than it was in Inequalities and Gini coefficient The development of the Gini coefficient in the 20 low- and middle-income countries with the highest MCI-Wr ranking in over a period until the mids is shown in Table